William Katz: Urgent Agenda
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SNIPPETS, our daily collection of short items and comments, is here. --------------------------------------------- Answers to last week's "current question" are here. The new "current question" is here, in the right-hand column. --------------------------------------------- Our next subscription drive will be in October. However, readers are invited to subscribe at any time. Subscriptions are voluntary, but are critical to keeping us going. Subscribe in the right-hand column. -------------------------------------------- We have a remarkable week coming up - The GOP convention, and the challenge of handling a major Gulf hurricane. The key: How John McCain and Sarah Palin accept their party's nominations while showing leadership in Hurricane Gustav. We'll be blogging all week.
Thought you'd be interested...
The United States Military Academy Concert Band in performance
MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 1, 2008
BENNETT REBUKES CNN Posted at 11:24 p.m. ET Republican stalwart, former secretary of education, and CNN contributor Bill Bennett has issued a stunning on-the-air rebuke to CNN for its handling of the Bristol Palin story. CNN, like other mainstream outlets, has sent reporters to Alaska to dig up anything they can about Sarah Palin. One CNN reporter went way over the top, and Bennett made his views know. You can see the video here at NewsBusters. CNN ran a "headline" under its picture today, announcing Bristol Palin's pregnancy. It ran, literally, for hours. I am appalled. The in-the-tank-for-Obama media risks a real backlash if this continues. May it come. September 1, 2008. Permalink
UPDATE AT 8:11 P.M. ET: I just watched a CNN discussion on Sarah Palin, and was utterly sickened. CNN is completely in the tank for Barack Obama, but you'd think they'd have at least some sense of shame. Campbell Brown practically laughed at the comments made by a McCain spokesman. We were informed that Palin's speech this Wednesday isn't really important, compared with the "vetting" the press would do. Palin's alleged lack of qualifications was hammered and hammered. COMMENT: I recall no similar questions asked by CNN about Barack Obama. Indeed, it took talk radio to force the mainstream media even to acknowledge that the man isn't God. Reporters are rushing to Alaska to look for anything they can find on Palin, but it took months, in some cases years, for major news organizations to go to Chicago and ask anything about Obama. It is absolutely disgraceful, an embarrassment to journalism.
HIM VS. HER Posted at 6:25 p.m. ET Gerard Baker of The Times of London is one of the most astute British observers of our political scene. Here he examines, with some glee, the contrast between Barack Obama and Sarah Palin. Obamans be warned: He is not kind to your guy.
And it begins:
Ah, but their history, his angst, his profound mind:
Not fair, not fair. There are other things, like political jobs. Why, he's been...
And there's more. Read the whole thing and save it. Compared to Sarah Palin, Barack Obama is...Barack Obama. Minor senator, mediocre record, adoring media. September 1, 2008. Permalink
TRACKERS Posted at 3:20 p.m. ET Both trackers for the day are now out. Neither show any change from yesterday. The Obama convention bounce has been far below expectation, but McCain did not gain in the last few days either. As reported earlier, Rasmussen has Obama up three. Gallup continues to have Obama up six. The GOP convention starts today. Hurricane Gustav looks to be far less a threat than we'd assumed. I suspect the convention will be back on track tomorrow. The key event: Sarah Palin's acceptance speech. People are eager to see her. If she hits a home run, it could have a clear impact. September 1, 2008. Permalink
CURIOUS UPDATE AT 2:08 P.M. ET: DETROIT (AP) - Barack Obama urged hundreds of thousands of supporters Monday to donate to the Red Cross to help victims of Hurricane Gustav. The Democratic presidential nominee scaled back a Labor Day speech to unions in an effort to keep the focus on the Gulf Coast. Obama planned to finish his campaign schedule Monday with stops in Michigan and Wisconsin, two battleground states the campaign views as possible wins, before heading home to Chicago to monitor the situation and decide his schedule for the rest of the week. COMMENT: You have to go to Chicago to monitor a storm in Louisiana? Really? McCain and Palin went to the South for briefings. Obama might have considered doing the same. Bad move.
PALIN DAUGHTER PREGNANT Posted at 1:03 p.m. ET Here, from Reuters, is the full story of the Palin daughter's pregnancy, as reported a few minutes ago in the bulletin just below. We report this only because of any political implications:
And...
McCain knew.
Shows class on McCain's part, but the issue will rumble through the campaign. Listen for the whispers.
Finally...
I'm glad someone said that. In reporting this story, the media have a perfect right, indeed an obligation, to put it in context. So they will have to discuss those despicable rumors. (That's known in libel cases as compounding the libel.) As I said below, public reaction will depend on how Sarah Palin handles the issue. So far, she's handled it with great dignity. The public tends to be sympathetic in cases like this. Indeed, the greater danger may well be to the Obama campaign, if the liberal blogger-clowns make something of the issue. Millions of families have had similar situations, or known friends or relatives with similar situations, and they won't like dragging the family crisis through the mud. September 1, 2008. Permalink
COMMENT: Talk about a strange twist. Was McCain aware of this? It is impossible to predict the impact. The real danger isn't serious criticism, but the jokes, the whispers, the ridicule. Reaction can cut either way. There could be a public backlash along the lines of, "She ignored a troubled child to pursue a political career," or there could be huge public sympathy. The Dems should have the sense to remain silent. My own sense, at best an informed guess, is that public reaction will be dictated entirely by how Sarah Palin handles the situation, and I suspect she'll handle it well.
THE GAME CHANGER Posted at 6:55 a.m. ET I've never seen a vice-presidential choice change a race the way Sarah Palin has changed this one. The polls, as we've reported here, just stopped in place. The Obama bounce turned into the Obama disappointment. He comes out of his convention with very little. It wasn't worth the price of the fireworks or the rental of the hall. Of course, the usual suspects are on the attack. I'd imagine by this time that reporters from the mainstream media are bumping into each other at Anchorage Airport. They rushed aboard jetliners as soon as Senator McCain picked Governor Palin, the better to record every juicy rumor or grudge. Some of the stuff is getting ugly, real ugly. For example, a story is being spread that Sarah Palin's newest child, the one with Down's Syndrome, isn't hers, but in fact is her daughter's. This is absolutely revolting. Sharp-eyed reader Jim Meyer alerts us to a piece in PolarTrec, a publication of teachers and researchers, that puts that one away permanently:
Enough said. Then there was an awful hit piece in The Politico, whose biases are starting to show, claiming that "scholars" say that Palin is the least qualified candidate ever to be on a major-party national ticket. Another eagle-eyed reader, Gregory Koster, refers us to the McCain camp response, which pretty much sends that story to the shredder. To its credit, The Politico published the response:
Good. Great. The McCain team is increasingly on the ball. This will be a tough fight, but our side seems ready to rumble. September 1, 2008. Permalink
Posted at 6:52 a.m. ET Hillary Rodham Clinton, of late the presumed Democratic nominee for president, is apparently displeased by the emergence of Sarah Palin. Of course she is. She might have to run against her someday. The New York Times reports on the royal discomfort:
Seduced? Did Kerry say seduced? And of course it's insulting to compare Sarah Palin to Hillary Clinton. It's an insult to Sarah. Ah, but there is nuance. Let's face it. Hillary wants Obama to lose. So her supporters aren't entirely dissing Sarah Palin. She might, in some ways, be useful to them:
Did you feel the same knife I did? So Hillary is upset with Sarah, but her supporters are still upset with Barack. You know, this could be a show on CBS at three in the afternoon. Could run about ten years. Procter & Gamble, are you listening?
Yeah, right. Helpful and positive. Like poison ivy. Spectacular election year, isn't it? September 1, 2008. Permalink
SUNDAY, AUGUST 31, 2008 STUNNER: A NEW CNN POLL JUST OUT, AND TAKEN OVER THE LAST THREE DAYS, SHOWS OBAMA WITH ONLY A ONE-POINT LEAD. THE BOUNCE HAS STOPPED AND THE BALL IS ROLLING DOWN THE HILL.
PALIN POWER Posted at 11:42 p.m. ET We're back now after visiting West Point for the season-closing concert of the U.S. Military Academy Concert Band, and the Jazz Knights. You haven't lived until you've heard the Concert Band play the "1812 Overture" with live Army cannon providing the effects, and fireworks bursting overhead. We've gone every year for years, and you never tire of the performance. Earlier in the evening I was able to listen to part of the John Batchelor Show on ABC radio. He interviewed Mona Charen and John Fund, who are covering the Republican convention. Two points from those interviews:
The major network anchors are now rushing to the Gulf Coast to cover the storm. Not to worry. Even if they try to avoid the GOP convention, they can't. McCain is handling the situation with sensitivity and competence, and that may do him more goods than a lot of ribbons and balloons. August 31, 2008. Permalink
DUMMIES WE Posted at 2:37 pm. ET Dean Barnett has an excellent piece in The Weekly Standard, examining how the Democrats are likely to assault Sarah Palin. Very perceptive, I think:
And...
That is correct. It's remarkable that many Democrats still refer to Reagan as "stupid," and regard the current president, who reads widely, as intellectually stunted. He is not. This really began, though, not with Ford, but with Eisenhower, one of the most thoughtful men ever to hold the presidency. Democrats sneered at him as a simpleton and an "Army man."
But, dearies, our Barack is simply searching for the precise word, the way a true intellect would. Don't you understand that?
And went to the right schools, too, not like that Alaska person.
And...
I'm afraid that's correct. But there's good news...
Well said. Read the piece. August 31, 2008. Permalink TRACKERS Posted at 1:49 p.m. ET Both trackers for Sunday are now out, and both show a slight erosion in support for Obama. As reported earlier, Rasmussen has Obama up three points. He had him up four yesterday. Gallup has Obama up six. He was up eight yesterday. It's clear that whatever bounce Obama received from his convention has stopped bouncing. But let me point out that Obama is still ahead. Although he received less-than-expected momentum from his convention, he didn't lose anything there either. Those of us supporting McCain should be sobered by the fact that McCain has rarely been ahead in this race, and then only by a point or two. It remains to be seen whether McCain will improve his standing at this week's GOP convention, which may be modified because of Hurricane Gustav. It's also clear that the initial reaction to Sarah Palin has been very positive, especially among conservatives. Look for Democrats, probably led by some leftist feminists, to mount a full-scale attack against her. The press will help out, with enthusiasm. It will get ugly. Obama is not a "new" kind of politician. In fact, he's standard issue, with a silver tongue. The Chicago machine did not teach him how to wage a fair fight. The election is still more than two months away. Everything can change. August 31, 2008. Permalink
COMMENT: Real imaginative, especially having John Kerry carry the ball. Is the Democratic death wish, previously demonstrated by Kerry's own nomination, coming back? Apparently so.
And Rasmussen reports the following: "There have been significant changes in perception of John McCain in the two days of polling since he named Alaska Governor Sarah Palin as his running mate. Since then, 49% of Republicans voice a Very Favorable opinion of McCain. That’s up six percentage points from 43% just before the announcement. Also, 64% of unaffiliated voters now give positive reviews to McCain, up ten points since naming his running mate."
Really? Every direction? Don't you usually head out of the city when fleeing? Does anyone read AP stories before they're put on the wire? We'll check and tell you which way the traffic is going. Shouldn't take much.
THE MAN BEHIND THE CURTAIN Posted at 8:47 a.m. ET "Pay no attention to that man behind the curtain." Wasn't that the line from "The Wizard of Oz?" Apparently, the Obama campaign has learned it well. Have you noticed that virtually everything the opposition brings up is called a "distraction" by the Obama camp? Rev. Wright? Distraction. Bill Ayers? Distraction. Connection to a Chicago criminal? Distraction. Now we have the mother of all distractions. Behold:
Nothing to see, folks. Nothing to see. Move along, please. Pay no attention to that woman on the ticket.
Fellas, this is getting tiresome. George Bush isn't on the ballot. What is remarkable about this ad, and other aspects of the Obama campaign, is the contempt that is shown for the American people. Don't the Obamacans realize that people know that McCain is very much his own man? Don't they realize that Americans know, especially after her Friday speech, that Sarah Palin isn't running to advance the Bush administration? Simply calling Palin another distraction reveals a campaign that is tired and stale. And why shouldn't it be? The Obama campaign is remarkably lacking in substance or originality. The Palin pick caught them off guard. They responded with a patronizing cliché. You know, they could lose this. August 31, 2008. Permalink THE AGONY OF THE MEDIA Posted at 7:46 a.m. ET Decisions, decisions. What to do, what to do? I feel the media's pain as it decides which is more important this week, the hurricane or the convention. Just the anguish in their hearts moves me. Do read the report of their suffering at The Politico:
Believe me, this is complete dry rot. Remember something called World War II? There was a war in Europe, and there was a war in the Pacific. And there was war at hundreds of spots in between. And, amazing, the whole war got covered. News organizations have the resources, either individually or through pools, to cover both stories. But I do suspect (why is this?) that some news outlets look forward to minimizing or even blotting out the Republican convention. For them, this really is the perfect storm. Okay, that's terribly harsh. But we now know that a number of "journalists" stood and applauded Barack Obama's acceptance speech in Denver Thursday night. That is outrageously unprofessional behavior. So excuse me if I attribute less-than-professional motives to some other journalists. They embarrass my profession. The Republicans may modify or even put off their convention. McCain is now surrounded by first-class strategists, and they have the ability to turn this sad disruption into an advantage. Yes, that's political calculation in the face of tragedy, but that is what strategists are paid to do. Even if the midst of major war, elections are held and strategists plan. So watch what the candidates do this week if the hurricane hits hard. And watch how the news media handle the balance between Republicans and weather. August 31, 2008. Permalink
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